“Face the Facts: You're Spending Too Much"



“When you define savings as the gap between your ego and your income you realize why many people with decent incomes save so little.”  


Morgan Housel  


“No matter how much money you have, the one luxury you cannot afford is arrogance.”

Lee Cooperman


Being a competent financial advisor obviously demands quantitative financial and investment tools and experience.  However, what really separates an advisor is when he is able to balance those hard, left-brain skills with a broad set of right brain attributes.  The ability to listen, to ask the right questions, to have an empathetic approach, and to have the ability to distill sometimes convoluted financial concepts in a relatable way, are critical.  Working with clients to rationalize spending and increase savings is a topic that demands this double-barrelled approach.

At Dolan Partners our typical client is a business executive or business owner in  his/her mid-30s to mid-50s. Our younger clients have invested in their careers in their 20s, and are now entering their 30s on a solid career progression, with increasing income.  They are looking to establish a clear financial path and foundation to move confidently through the many big milestones and transitions they will face over the next decade and beyond (buying a house, paying down student debt, getting married, having kids, saving for college).  The primary focus is to define 1, 5, and 10 year goals and funding needs, and to start managing monthly cash flow, set budgets, increase savings, and prioritize where that savings should go. The earlier clients engage in the process, the better.


For clients in their 40s and 50s, on the other hand, they’ve accumulated assets, have good income and are more established in their careers.  However, they feel the weight of responsibility as their financial lives have grown more complicated, and are looking for assistance to competently steward their finances, to both protect what they’ve built and intelligently invest for the future.  They are uncertain if they are in good shape for retirement, feel their finances and investments have been overlooked and their household financial behavior has grown unfocused.


A common theme for both is that while our new clients prioritized their careers and families, they’ve not given enough attention to their financial life, and are starting to feel the effects of that.  What inhibits people from taking the first step toward addressing this can be simple inertia, or the feeling that they aren’t where they should be financially, have made mistakes, are uncomfortable talking about money, or feel intimidated. Dolan Partners understands all of these concerns, and is experienced in working with clients to gently overcome these inhibitions.


Regardless of age, cash flow management is central to our process.  Rationalizing household spending and working to increase saving and investment is more controllable than most other factors influencing a client’s financial life.  The central factors which drive stock market returns, interest rates and inflation, for example, are largely out of our control. We can competently prepare for a range of outcomes with regards to markets, but we cannot control or predict their course.  We can exert meaningful control over cash flow and spending.  


And yet most clients have an aversion to discussing spending.  We have found that the issues clients want to talk about are the ones they are doing well in.   It’s unearthing the topics clients resist or ignore that need the most focus. Household spending and saving is usually one of those topics.  Often, there is a lack of communication and candor between spouses in this area. This is made worse by the fact that spending behaviors are enmeshed in our personal psychology, confidence, expectations and ego.

We work with both spouses to unpack their individual spending and saving values, history, expectations.  We make sure each spouse feels heard in sharing their needs and wants. We focus on finding areas of agreement, and importantly, focus on areas of frustration, and work to build compromise.  When these differences are material, and persist, the result is often frustration and building tension in the marriage. Many times one spouse largely defers to the other’s spending behaviors, which also creates resentment.


A core catalyst of overspending is ill-defined financial goals.  We help clients identify and define these, and asses where they stand.  This alone tends to immediately change behavior. We also highlight for clients how even modest spending cuts, and increased investment can result in large net worth gains over time.  We then track monthly spending by aggregating all of a client’s spending accounts on our online portal, and construct an initial budget. We then inject accountability in the process to improve outcomes.


Our work in this area with clients is akin to the mentality and tactics used by private equity firm 3G in its acquisitions of large US consumer product companies like Anheuser Busch and Heinz.  3G’s believed these companies, with their in-demand, high margin, franchise products, had become far too complacent in managing costs. Too much success and stability had led to unfocused leadership, layers and layers of middle management, and not enough attention on profitability.  With a relentless focus on cutting costs 3G was able, in most cases, to drastically improve operating margins. An article in Fortune described the 3G approach as “[producing] radical savings. It can eliminate entrenched methodologies that are there simply because they’ve always been there.”  


In a way, many of our new clients have similar characteristics to these companies.  They have robust and fairly stable income and have built up assets. Their saving. However, over time they have given most of their attention to income, and little on spending.  To achieve optimal outcome, you need to focus on both sides. We help drive that. A good book with a bad title, “Double Your Profits in 6 Months or Less” is required reading for all new employees at 3G, and encapsulated many of their tactics.  A few examples for you to consider:


-Define strategic and non-strategic spending:  From a client’s perspective, strategic costs are those that are critical and align with their stated goals and objectives, or are discretionary but result in considerable enjoyment and fulfillment.  Non-strategic costs are everything else and should be pared aggressively. All the unfocused, unproductive spending that doesn’t add value should be looked at very closely. In our view, monthly savings is one of the most important strategic “costs” and should be prioritized.  Look at it as a non-negotiable line item, such as a mortgage payment, and make it every month.


-Look at every cost with suspicion:  “Place the burden of proof on justifying costs, not on eliminating them.”  For most, this is a mindset change. Ask the hard questions. Do I need that country club membership when I play golf 3 times a year?  Do we need to spend $2,500 a month on restaurants? Do I need a new car every 3 years? Are we spending enough on kids’ tutoring?


-Have a sense of urgency/be impatient:  Have a consistent and action-oriented focus on costs.


-Always keep resources very scarce:  3G layered massive debt on companies to starve it of liquidity and cash, and compel cost cuts.  With our client’s we encourage them to keep their bank liquidity as low as possible. Too much cash in the bank inevitably leads to overspending.  


-See every cost as up for grabs:  This opens your mind to creative ways of reducing costs.  


-Cut costs first, ask questions later:  A common mistake is to be too cautious in cutting.   If you do make a mistake and cut something you shouldn’t have, you can always reestablish it.  You’ve also gained an important insight. Conversely, if you spend errantly, you can’t get that money back.  “The spending tide is so great that only a very resolute and strong force in the opposite direction will successfully stop it.”


-Set arbitrary, non-negotiable budgets:  Don’t spend too much time determining this; don’t overquantity.  Determine what is aggressive but achievable, and set that number in stone.


-People are more adaptable than you think:  Most clients find their families quickly adapt to a new level of behavior.  


-Sign off on all the checks/bills:  Client’s should turn off larger bill auto-pays, and scrutinize every bill, starting with the largest.  Monthly savings, on the other hand, should be made automatic, deducted from bank accounts and moved to investment accounts.  The opposite of what most people do.




Work with an advisor who goes beyond the superficial, and dives deep into all aspects of your financial life.  If you’d like to learn more about our services, or set up an introductory call, go to www.dolanpartners.com.

"Putting Tax Planning at the Heart of Financial Planning"

While there is always considerable grumbling around tax time, this tax season has seemed to cause a particularly high degree of angst and consternation.  What was heralded as a tax cut by politicians, turned out for many to be a considerable and surprising tax increase. Among those adversely impacted were high earners living in states with high income and property taxes, due to the SALT (State and Local Tax) deduction cap of $10,000.  On top of changing tax policies, 2018 also presented a textbook example for many of having an improper and ill-defined tax strategy in their investment portfolios. For the majority of 2018, the stock market had been very strong, likely leading to the average investor realizing at least some investment gains.  The mentality seems is typically: I’ve got a material gain on the year, I can afford to take some chips off the table, and pay the taxes with my profits. Unfortunately, the market proceeded to fall by 20% in the fourth quarter, with most of that loss in December. As the year was drawing to a close, many investors and advisors were faced with an unfortunate combination: negative investment returns coupled with a considerable net realized gain.  I recall playing golf in Florida in late December and being paired with a financial advisor from Baltimore. When I asked what he thought about the markets, he grumbled about having to spend a good part of his vacation on the phone with the office selling stocks to book offsetting losses before year-end.

This was an all too common example of letting the tax tail wag the investment dog.  Selling losing positions in late 2018, solely for tax reasons, was misguided, and not just because the market has rallied materially from those panic levels.  I often remind tax-obsessed clients and prospects that minimizing taxes in their investment portfolios is not the goal, maximizing after-tax returns is. You can see how the desire to minimize tax promotes poor investment decisions.  As this tax season has unfolded, and people got a clearer sense of their rising tax liability, there was a knee jerk rush into municipal bonds. This decision, in my estimation, wasn’t based on any analytical analysis of the risk/reward profile of the asset class, or credit analysis of a particular bond issue, but solely on munis’ tax profile.


A better approach is to work with an advisor who proactively and rationally integrates tax sophistication into client financial plans and investment portfolios.  This is an ethos that permeates Dolan Partners’ process in working with our clients. Typically the first step is to determine which tax-advantaged accounts are suitable for a client, and then how to maximize the utility of those accounts to fit the client’s needs.  Most tax-advantaged accounts have two tax benefits. In some vehicles the contributions are shielded from income tax, this capital can compound over time tax-free, with taxes due only when withdrawals are made. In others, contributions are taxed, the account grows tax-free, and withdrawals are untaxed.


The critical, and often underappreciated, benefit of all tax-advantaged accounts is the tax-free compounding of investment returns over time.  The longer the time period you can put between contributions and withdrawals, the more pronounced the benefit is. The best time to open and fund these accounts is today.


Retirement Accounts:

  • Employer 401k:  We determine that the client is maximizing income contributions, optimize the sequencing of those contributions (front end or staggered), maximizing any company match, and determining if there is a any profit sharing program at the company which can increase annual contribution limits.   It also makes sense to rollover any 401ks from old jobs into an IRA, as 401k plans tend to have elevated fees and limited investment options.

  • Roth IRA/Regular IRA:  Depending on a client’s circumstances, these non-employer based retirement accounts are a great vehicle for retirement planning and tax strategy.


Health Care:

  • HSAs: The most tax-advantaged account of all, with a triple tax benefit.  Contributions are tax deductible, the money grow tax free, and eligible withdrawals are also untaxed.  We study the client’s financial situation and employer benefits to determine if a high deductible health care plan is suitable.  For our typical client, it often is. We then encourage clients to maximize HSA contributions, invest those contributions, and, critically, avoid paying current medical expenses from the account.  We encourage clients to view HSAs as a retirement health care fund, and we want to take advantage of tax free compounding for as long as possible.


Education:

  • 529s:  These plans often make sense for clients with children.  Again, starting early is ideal, to maximize the tax benefit.  In some cases, contributions are deductible against state taxes.  Carefully vetting plan sponsors is important as there is a wide variety in fees and investment options.  A final recommendation is to carefully monitor risk exposure as the time horizon for when the funds will be needed shortens.  


Once we properly construct a framework of tax-advantaged accounts, we then work to build tax considerations into the construction of investment portfolios.  Typically we urge clients to concentrate high return/high volatility risk assets in tax-advantaged accounts, and adopt, when appropriate, a more active investment approach.  In taxable accounts, on the other hand, we often recommend a lower risk profile, coupled with an investment approach geared toward long-term, low turnover, capital appreciation.  The goal in both types of accounts is the same: maximizing long-term after-tax returns for the client, only the tactics employed are different due to the differing tax characteristics.  Once the basics are addressed, we dive deeper into the client’s unique tax profile, and work collaboratively with their tax advisors, to craft customized processes.

The overriding message is that tax planning and tax considerations play an integral part in the Dolan Partners’ process when working with our clients.  If death and taxes are unavoidable, you owe it to yourself to work with a financial advisor who proactively builds tax sophistication into clients’ financial plans and investment portfolios.  

Learn more at www.dolanpartners.com


Ryan P. Dolan



"The Art of Contrary Thinking"

“Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.”

John Maynard Keynes


“Doubt all before you believe anything.  Watch your idols.”

Francis Bacon


“I have an iron prescription that helps me keep sane when I naturally drift toward one ideology over another: I’m not entitled to have an opinion on this subject unless I can state the arguments against my position better than the people who are supporting it.  Only when I reach that stage am I qualified to speak.”

Charlie Munger



“The Art of Contrary Thinking,” written by Humphrey Neill in 1954, provides an important and timely reminder of the need for objectivity and clarity of thought when it comes to financial planning and investment.  Neill, a quirky and iconoclastic market analyst, summarized the book this way: “The art of contrary thinking consists of training your mind to ruminate in directions opposite to general public opinions.”

Very easy to say, very difficult to put into practice.

Just as most people consider themselves above average drivers, the group of self-described contrarians is, paradoxically, a large one.  In the investing world in particular, virtually everyone considers themself a contrarian, and yet, by definition, very few investors are.  Clearly, while most see the benefits of contrarianism in theory, very few are able live up to its precepts in practice.

Let me start by saying what thoughtful contrarianism isn’t.  It isn’t just a blind contrariness that is compelled to do the opposite of the crowd.  This blind nonconformity is just as irrational as that of the unthinking herd. What Neill is advocating instead is to avoid the quick, illogical, and often unconscious jump to conclusions.  Note the word “rumination.” Study the crowd and it’s views, as well as your own preconceived notions and biases, and then strive to purposely study the countervailing argument and implications.  Don’t assume anything.

Open-mindedness, objectivity, and emotional equanimity are all traits which help drive good financial and investment outcomes.  Below are just a couple of Neill’s insights and my thoughts on their financial implications for clients.

“Individual opinions (our own as well as the next man’s) are of little value - because so frequently wrong.  If one relies stubbornly on his own opinion, he is likely to stand on his opinion, right or wrong. No trait is stronger, perhaps, than that of defending one’s opinion and of being unwilling to admit error in judgment.”  

We live in a hyper-opinionated world.  What’s worse, the ubiquity of technology and media has dramatically increased the amount and frequency of opinion we are exposed to.   Facts and unbiased reporting are out, purposely inflammatory and emotion-arousing opinion are in. Unfortunately, humans perceive someone with a passionately articulated opinion as having both knowledge and certainty-which is naturally persuasive.  And yet, being exposed to opinions subconsciously compels us take a stand and agree or disagree with them. What’s worse, once we have formed an opinion ourselves, it is very difficult mentally and psychologically to reverse it, even in the face of new facts.  To change one’s mind is to admit we were wrong-something we all struggle with.

Think of someone you know who is hyper-partisan politically.  Is this the most rational, objective, clear-thinking person you know?  Do they spend their time confirming their own biases by seeking out confirming opinions and media?  Can they objectively and dispassionately list their party’s shortcomings? Can they list the opposing parties strengths?  When talking about politics, can they stay even-keeled and composed, particularly when someone tests their views? I believe that when someone is dogmatic and irrationally opinionated in one area of their life, it tends to permeate their overall thinking and dramatically reduces objectivity.

Train yourself to question others views, as well as your own assumptions and beliefs-particularly long-held ones.  Seek opposing, not confirming views. Strive to avoid coming to opinions quickly. Limit forecasting.


“Is the public wrong all the time? Decidedly, no.  The public is perhaps right more of the time than not.  In stock market parlance, the public is right during the trends, but wrong at both ends.”

Another way to state this is, “what the wise man does at the beginning, the fool does at the end.”  Another is Warren Buffett's line about the three kinds of people in business and markets: innovators, followed by imitators, and then, finally, the idiots.  As Neill implies, the consensus view can generally be right the majority of the time. However, at extremes, the crowd is typically always wrong. At these crucial tipping points, when sound behavior is most called for, the crowd’s degree of conviction and certainty in its errant opinions is particularly high, as is it’s emotionalism.  

There are many times in markets where there is no clear consensus.  The range of opinions and views is broad and diffuse. Interestingly, in these times, there can be high emotionalism.  Earlier in this bull market, for example, there were highly convicted and vocal bulls on and bears.  However, the overall effect was relatively balanced as these two groups served to largely neutralize each other.  The analogy of a boat is useful. It is only when everyone is on one side of the boat that it’s dangerous. Having a mob of people on the bow of the boat, and another on the stern, both shouting at each other, while annoying, doesn’t threaten capsizing.

Keep an eye on the pendulum of consensus.  In simple terms, virtually everyone will be fearful, bearish, pessimistic and emotional in late stage bear markets.  Similarly, in late stage bull markets, most will be greedy, bullish, optimistic, and emotional. In the broad swaths of environments in between, it will be less clear.  Look for the degree of consensus, certainty, and emotion, along with a complete absence of participants with opposing views. The pendulum of psychology currently, while not extreme, is tilting toward worrying levels of optimism, enthusiasm, risk seeking, and speculation.  The thoughtful advisor and client should strive to calibrate financial and investment decisions in the context of the overall environment.



It is crucial for clients to be aware of these all too common psychological and behavioral shortcomings, and to strive, over time with their advisor to counteract their influence on decision making.  



Article of the Week: "Your Friend's Social Media Posts Are Making You Spend More Money"

Savings rates tend to increase in bad times and decrease in good ones. Sounds logical, but it is the opposite of the way it should be done. As the old saying goes, “You don’t wait to build an ark after it starts raining.” We work with client’s to build a counteryclical savings strategy, which gives ballast and serenity to their financial life, while also allowing them to be more opportunistic in their investment portfolios.

Also-TURN OFF THE SOCIAL MEDIA if you want to save more money!

-Ryan

Your friends’ social media posts are making you spend more money, researchers say

Christopher Ingraham, Washington Post

(Illustration by Christopher Ingraham for the Washington Post'/Illustration by Christopher Ingraham for the Washington Post)

American families don’t save money like they used to. As the chart above shows, in 2018, the personal saving rate hovered around 7 percent. That’s up from an all-time low of 3 percent right before the Great Recession hit, but it’s well below the rate of a few decades ago.

There are several potential explanations for this. Wage growth has slowed while necessities such as housing and medical care have become more expensive, taking a big chunk out of personal income. The rise of easy credit has made spending beyond our means more simple than ever. Pension plans have been replaced by 401(k)s, which are much easier to draw down on in a pinch — even if it’s nearly always a bad idea.

Now, a team of American and Canadian economists have proposed a new explanationfor the declining savings rate, one rooted in individual psychology. At its heart lies a simple observation: Personal spending is a lot more visible to others than no spending. Changes in the media landscape have made other people’s spending more visible than ever. That, in turn, is making all of us spend even more — and save even less.

Humans are social creatures, and we have a tendency to evaluate our own standing in life relative to how our friends and neighbors are doing. We want to keep up with the Joneses, and stay ahead of the Smiths. Because of this, when we see other people spending money, we have a tendency to think that we can — or should — be spending, too.

“A boat parked in a driveway draws the attention of neighbors more than the absence of a boat,” the economists explain. “Similarly, it is more noticeable when a friend or acquaintance is encountered eating out or reports taking an expensive trip than when not, or buys an enjoyable product as compared with not doing so.”

These signals from other people are particularly powerful in part because many of us have considerable uncertainty about how much we should be spending. “There is a great deal of evidence suggesting that people are indeed often ‘grasping at straws’ in their savings decisions, which suggests that they may look to social cues for help,” the authors write.

David Hirshleifer, one of the authors, said via email that “saving is the flip side of consuming, and it’s tempting to think that you’re saving enough because you are not throwing lavish parties or taking expensive cruises the way some people you know are.” But, he warns, “such self-congratulation is treacherous, because those cruises and parties may not really be typical of your acquaintances — they just stand out in memory.”

Fifty years ago, our frames of reference for our spending habits were relatively small. We had our neighbors and friends, of course, as well as people we interacted with at work. But that has all changed. Television brought us things such as “Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous,” the Home Shopping Network and eventually reality TV shows where contestants are jetted off to tropical islands to enjoy expensive meals.

Next came the Internet, with the discussion forums and specialist websites, where postings about cool new product purchases “are more interesting, and therefore more likely to occur, than a posting to announce the news that the individual did not buy anything today," as the authors tell it.

Now we have social media. We can log on to watch kids unbox expensive toys on YouTube. Facebook lets us stay in touch with our rich college classmates who always seem to be on vacation. We can create and share detailed logs of the stuff we consume on sites such as Yelp and TripAdvisor. We can see what our co-workers ate last night on Instagram.

On social media, as the authors tell it, “a posting about a consumption event triggers a notification to friends; a non-posting about not engaging in a consumption event does not.”

The net effect of this saturation of consumptive media is that we’re bombarded every day with signals to consume, consume, consume — and that’s before you even stop to consider the rise of an entire industry, advertising, devoted to parting consumers from their money. “People infer that low saving is a good idea,” as the authors put it.

They spend a good deal of their paper developing a sophisticated mathematical model to explain exactly how this process of consumption contagion works. One of the implications of their research is that finding ways to make non-spending more visible might help people develop more realistic views of overall spending and saving behavior.

“To decide if you’re overconsuming, make a special effort to notice when your friends do something that is frugal, such as having a staycation or holding on to their 15-year-old car,” Hirshleifer said. “If you’re going to compare yourself to others, try to make it realistic.”

Investing in Employee Financial Wellness

When speaking with friends and clients who own businesses, or head up teams of employees, a common lament, particularly in this historically strong job market, is finding and retaining talented employees.  What’s more, owners are realizing the importance of continually fostering an environment which incentivizes employees and aligns their success with that of the company. One area often overlooked, is the impact of an employee’s personal financial condition on job performance.  I have experienced this firsthand in advising on two operating companies for a client. These companies rely on a small number of key, front-line, customer-facing employees. On more than one occasion, a material and unexplained dip in financial performance was, upon closer inspection, attributable to a marked deterioration in an employee’s job performance, caused by a recent personal financial setback.  

It is in an owner’s direct financial interest to focus to improving the financial literacy and financial stability of his employees.  Without argument, companies already invest considerably in their employees, from competitive incomes to offering generous health plans and  retirement plans, among other benefits. This investment is augmented by a material amount of time and resources devoted to ongoing training and educating of employees.  Employers invest a lot in their employees, but it is important to determine if they are getting a sufficient return on that investment. At a time when the typical job tenure for a millennial is 18 to 24 months, often, the answer is often no.  

While it is true money worries tend to be more pervasive and  acute in younger and lower-paid employees, financial anxiety and stress permeates the American workforce, across age demographics, and income levels.   It could be your promising 28 year old salesperson, whose job performance has become increasingly inconsistent. Could it be due to her inability to navigate large swings in her month to month commissions, given her high levels of student debt?  Maybe it's your previously steady 52 year old employee who suddenly seems disengaged, and complaining about compensation. Is this change caused by accumulated stress due to large college tuition payments for his kids, inadequate retirement savings, couped with a  surge in unexpected health care costs for an elderly parent?

The prime sources of stress typically revolve around near-term financial insecurity due to heavy debt loads, little or no savings, overspending and living paycheck to paycheck, or a large, unanticipated emergency expense.  For employees dealing with these front-burner issues, despite their best efforts, job performance tends to suffer. Whether expressed in obvious ways such as increased absenteeism, poor or erratic job performance, and increased job turnover, to more subtle ones, such as a desire to maximize near-term income at the expense of the long-term, an employee’s private financial condition can directly impact their employer’s bottom line.

Companies are increasingly realizing that providing employees with financial education and financial planning benefits can leverage the impact of their current benefits package while improving employee job performance and productivity.  It can also help attract and retain talented employees. While large companies have increasingly offered financial wellness programs, the adoption rate for small and midsize companies has been modest. Where companies can drive positive change is by investing in personalized financial planning and increased financial literacy for their employees.  

Dolan Partners’ process works first through a discovery session to confidentially assess an employee’s financial condition, and then determine immediate financial issues, concerns and action items.  Often the first action item is to tailor and maximize the employee’s usage of company benefits, from picking the optimal health plan for their needs, to opening an HSA, to nudging them to start contributing or increase contributions to the company 401k.  Then the process looks at employee spending, working to create a stable monthly cash flow, and looks to build a suitable emergency fund. The planning process can extend to education and retirement planning, investing, life insurance, and beyond. For most employees, a couple seminars a year, coupled with two individualized one-on-one planning sessions can result in a material improvement in their near-term financial health.  For a modest annual per-employee fee, we believe there is considerable tangible financial benefit to business owners who make this investment in their employees. In addition, employees recognize when their company cares not only about its own bottom line, but about their personal financial success and security, and are willing to invest in it.


ryanpdolan@dolanpartners.com



Article of the Week: Forbes "The Greatest Investor You've Never Heard of"

Some great lessons in here. Hope you enjoy!

-Ryan

Madeline Berg

It’s 9 p.m. on the last Saturday night of the 2018 Art Basel in Miami Beach. On the first floor of the palatial Versace mansion, the well-dressed and well-Botoxed are dancing to remixes of Michael Jackson’s “Beat It” and posing for Instagram by the mosaic-tiled emerald pool.

Upstairs, in a VIP room decorated in a mélange of styles that marry classical Greek and Roman touches, a well-dressed septuagenarian named Herbert Wertheim is sitting in front of a plate of smoked-salmon toast topped with gold leaf and shaved truffles, and scrolling through photos on his iPhone—scenes from what could only be described as a wonderful life. There are fan photos of him cooking pasta fagioli with Martha Stewart, on the slopes with Buzz Aldrin and fishing in Antarctica. There are many with his wife of 49 years, Nicole, on the luxurious World Yacht, where the Wertheims now live part of each year. He calls these extracurricular activities “Herbie time.” 

Dr. Herbie Wertheim in his signature red fedora.Jamel Toppin for Forbes

If it weren’t for his trademark bright-red fedora, Wertheim, who is an optometrist and small businessman, would look like the typical senior living it up in South Florida. 

But Wertheim, 79, has no need for early-bird specials. What the photos don’t reveal is that Dr. Herbie, as he is known to friends, is a self-made billionaire worth $2.3 billion by Forbes’ reckoning—not including the $100 million he has donated to Florida’s public universities. His fortune comes not from some flash of entrepreneurial brilliance or dogged devotion to career, but from a lifetime of prudent do-it-yourself buy-and-hold investing. 

Herb Wertheim may be the greatest individual investor the world has never heard of, and he has the Fidelity statements to prove it. Leafing through printouts he has brought to a meeting, you can see hundreds of millions of dollars in stocks like Apple and Microsoft, purchased decades ago during their IPOs. An $800 million-plus position in Heico, a $1.8 billion (revenue) airplane-parts manufacturer, dates to 1992. There are dozens of other holdings, ranging from GE and Google to BP and Bank of America. If there’s a common theme to Wertheim’s investing, it’s a preference for industry and technology companies and dividend payers. His financial success—and the fantastic life his portfolio has afforded his family—is a testament to the power of compounding as well as to the resilience of American innovation over the half-century.

“My thing is,” Wertheim says as he reflects on his long career, “I wanted to be able to have free time. To me, having time is the most precious thing.” 

Born in Philadelphia at the end of the Great Depression, Wertheim is the son of Jewish immigrants who fled Nazi Germany. In 1945 his parents moved to Hollywood, Florida, and lived in an apartment above the family’s bakery. A dyslexic, Wertheim struggled in school and soon found himself skipping class. 

“In those days, they just called you dumb,” he remembers. “I would sit in the corner sometimes with a dunce cap on.” 

“My thing is I wanted to be able to have free time. To me, having time is the most precious thing.”

During his teens, in the 1950s, an abusive father prompted Wertheim to run away periodically. He spent much of his time hanging around with the local Seminole Indians, hunting and fishing in the Everglades and selling game, like frog legs, to locals. He also hitchhiked around Florida picking oranges and grapefruits. Eventually, his parents had enough. At age 16 he stood in front of a judge facing truancy charges. Lucky for Wertheim, the judge took pity on him, offering him a choice between the U.S. Navy and state reformatory. Wertheim enlisted in 1956 and was stationed in San Diego. He was only 17. 

“That’s where my life changed,” he says. “They give you tests all the time to see how smart you are, and out of 135 in our class, I think I was in the top—especially in the areas of mechanics and organization.”

With a newfound confidence, Wertheim studied physics and chemistry in the Navy before working in naval aviation. This is about the time Wertheim began investing in stocks. It was the Cold War, the military-industrial complex was humming and American industry was on the move. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had finally recovered from the losses it suffered more than two dec­ades before during the Crash of 1929, and aerospace stocks were leading the market. Wertheim made his first investment at 18, using his Navy stipend to buy stock in Lear Jet, which at the time was known for making aviation products during WWII. Wertheim met its founder, Bill Lear, during a visit to a Sikorsky Aircraft factory in Connecticut, where the Navy’s S58 hel­i­cop­ters were manufactured. Wertheim was attracted to Lear’s inventions, like the first auto-pilot systems. (Later, the company would invent the 8-track tape and pioneer the business-jet market.)

“You take what you earn with the sweat of your brow, then you take a percentage of that and you invest it in other people’s labor,” Wertheim says of his near-religious devotion to tithing his wages into the stock market.

Once out of the Navy, Wertheim sold encyclopedias door-to-door before attending Brevard Community College and then the University of Florida, where he studied engineering but never graduated. In addition to taking classes, he worked for NASA—then in its first few years—in a division that improved instrumentation for manned flights. This fueled an interest in the eye and instruments optimized for vision.

His fortune comes not from some flash of entrepreneurial brilliance but from a lifetime of prudent buy-and-hold investing.

In 1963 he received a scholarship to attend the Southern College of Optometry in Memphis and after graduation opened up a practice in South Florida. For 12 years he toiled away, seeing patients who were mostly working-class and who sometimes paid their bills with bushels of mangoes and avocados. Wertheim spent his evenings tinkering on inventions, and in 1969, he invented an eyeglass tint for plastic lenses that would filter out and absorb dangerous UV rays, helping to prevent cataracts. 

The Vietnam War was under way, and plastics had become the material of choice for eyeglasses and sunglasses. Demand for Wertheim’s tint grew, and he sold it in a royalty deal for $22,000. But because of contractual breaches, the royalties never materialized. 

So in 1970 Wertheim decided to get more serious about his inventions and set up a new company, Brain Power Inc. He founded it as a technology consulting firm, but Wertheim soon returned to his habit of researching and tinkering, developing tints, dyes and other technologies for eyewear. 

A year later he concocted one of the world’s first neutralizers, a chemical that restored lenses back to their original clear state. This meant opticians no longer needed to carry large inventories of different-colored lenses or dispose of lenses that were improperly tinted. “I was still seeing patients, I had a little lab,” recalls Wertheim with a smile. He showed his wife a coffee can containing his chemical concoction and said, ‘Nicole, what’s in this can is going to make us millionaires.’ ” 

Wertheim occasionally lectures on engineering at Florida International University.Jamel Toppin for Forbes

It did. Between that chemical and the numerous other products Wertheim invented for lenses—some tints for aesthetics, others to help ease the symptoms of neurological disorders like epilepsy and still others to improve UV protection—BPI became one of the world’s largest manufacturers of optical tints, selling to companies like Bausch & Lomb, Zeiss and Polaroid. The company also began making lab equipment, cleaners and accessories for opticians, optometrists and ophthalmologists. Today BPI has more than 100 patents and copyrights in the area of optics, 49 employees and annual revenues of about $25 million. 

In less than two decades, Wertheim had gone from ne’er-do-well to inventor and entrepreneur. BPI never achieved hypergrowth, but it currently has a net income of about $10 million a year, according to Wertheim, more than enough to feed his passion for investing and the good life. 

“I didn’t want to have a big business,” he says. “But today, I have a 5 or a 6 or an 8 billion-dollar corporation, each of which I own 10% of.”

With BPI cash flowing into Wertheim’s brokerage account, he went to work buying stocks and honing a strategy that can best be described as a mix of Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch, with a touch of Jack Bogle, given that he dislikes fees and primarily uses two discounters, Fidelity and Schwab, to manage his massive portfolio. 

With Lear Jet (later known as Lear Siegler) in the late 1950s, for example, Wertheim was practicing “invest in what you know,” the strategy popularized by the famous Fidelity Magellan fund manager Peter Lynch in his 1989 book One Up on Wall Street. Lynch told readers to use their specialized knowledge or experience to gain an edge in their investments.

In less than two decades, Wertheim had gone from ne’er-do-well to inventor and entrepreneur.

Instead of concentrating on the metrics in financial statements, Wertheim is devoted to reading patents and spends two six-hour blocks each week poring over technical tomes. “What’s more important to me is, what is your intellectual capital to be able to grow?” Thanks to his engineering background, the technical nature of optometry and his experience as an inventor, the patent library is Wertheim’s comfort zone. Stocks he invested in based on their impressive patent portfolios include IBM, 3M and Intel. 

Like Warren Buffett, Wertheim believes firmly in doubling down when his high-conviction picks go against him. He says that if you put your faith in a company’s intellectual property, it doesn’t matter too much if the market goes south for a bit—the product, he believes, has lasting value.

“If you like something at $13 a share, you should like it at $12, $11 or $10 a share,” Wertheim says. “If a stock continues to go down, and you believe in it and did your research, then you buy more. You are actually getting a better deal.” Whenever possible, he adds, dividends are useful in cushioning the pain of stocks that drift down or go sideways. 

“My goal is to buy and almost never sell,” he says, parroting a Buffettism. “I let it appreciate as much as it can and use the dividends to move forward.” In this way Wertheim, like the Oracle of Omaha, seldom reinvests dividends but instead uses the cash flow from his portfolio to either fund his lifestyle or make new investments. 

Wertheim points to Microsoft, a stock he has held since its IPO in 1986. “I knew a lot about computers and had been involved in building them,” he says. BPI had been using Apple IIe’s, but after Microsoft released its Windows operating system in 1985, Wertheim became convinced it would be a winner. “Only Microsoft had an operating system that could compete with Apple,” he recalls. The Microsoft shares he bought during the IPO, which have been paying dividends since 2003, are now worth more than $160 million. His 1.25 million shares of Apple, some purchased during its 1980 IPO and some when the stock was languishing at $10 in the 1990s, are worth $195 million.

Wertheim’s returns are miraculous. But merely adding $200 per month to an initial $10,000 in the stock market over the past 61 years would have produced an $11 million portfolio.Source: Investor.gov

Not all of the hundreds of stocks he has owned have fared so well. He invested big in Blackberry. “I believed in the new management and the recovery story,” says Wertheim, who will generally sell if a position reverses on him by 25%. “I watched substantial profits disappear month after month until I decided enough was enough.” 

Wertheim sometimes uses leverage, but mostly in a limited way when buying high-yielding stocks. “By using the dividends to offset [the cost of] margin interest, the government is helping you increase your portfolio value,” he explains, noting that margin interest is tax deductible up to the amount of ordinary income.

“If you like something at $13 a share, you should like it at $12, $11 or $10 a share,” Wertheim says. “If a stock continues to go down, and you believe in it and did your research, then you buy more.”

But in 1982 Wertheim got caught in a margin call after Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker raised the federal funds rate from 12% to 20% and the market sank 20%. The episode cost him $50 million and taught Wertheim a valuable lesson about the dangers of leverage and mark-to-market accounting. Like most other active investors, Wertheim strives for tax efficiency. In order to harvest tax losses in his portfolio, he doubles down on his losers to avoid the IRS’ wash-sale penalties. “If I have a large loss in a stock I like,” he says, “I will purchase more, usually twice to three times the original purchase, and wait the 30 days to sell the original position and book the tax loss.”

As with Buffett, Wertheim says finding companies with strong management has been key to his success. A great example of this is Heico, a family-run aerospace and electronics company based in Wertheim’s hometown, Hollywood, Florida. 

Wertheim became friendly with Laurans “Larry” Mendelson during the 1970s, after Wertheim bought a condominium in a building Mendelson owned and docked his boat next to Mendelson’s on Coral Gables Waterway. “He has two daughters around the same age as my two sons,” Mendelson says. “We got to know each other socially.”

A CPA by training, Mendelson was a successful real estate investor who had studied at Columbia Business School under David Dodd, co-author with Benjamin Graham of the seminal book on value investing, Security Analysis. Inspired by the wave of dealmakers getting rich from LBOs in the 1980s, the Mendelsons were looking to find an undervalued, underperforming industrial company to take over.

After they settled on Heico, at the time a small airline-parts maker, Wertheim used his aeronautical knowledge to informally help the family analyze its business and went on to purchase shares of the company—a penny stock priced as low as 33 cents.

“My goal is to buy and almost never sell.”

“At that time Heico was a disaster, but he came up and understood what we would do to make it a non-disaster,” says Mendelson. Heico was making narrow-body jet-engine combustors, which the FAA mandated be replaced on a regular basis after a plane caught fire on a runway in 1985. Under the Mendelsons, Heico expanded its line of replacement parts, which undercut established original-equipment manufacturers like United Technologies’ Pratt & Whitney and GE. After Germany’s Lufthansa acquired a minority stake in the company in 1997, airline manufacturers and Wall Street took notice, and its share price rose sixfold to more than $2. But this was just the beginning. Heico enjoyed a proverbial moat as one of only a few FAA-approved airplane replacement-parts manufacturers. This translated into steadily growing orders as Heico expanded its product mix and as demand for air travel increased. For the last 28 years, Heico’s sales have compounded at a rate of 16% per year and its net profits at 19%.

Today, Heico trades for $80, and buy-and-hold Herbie is its largest individual shareholder. His original $5 million investment is worth more than $800 million.

Clockwise from top: Wertheim with Warren Buffett; on the World Yacht in Bordeaux; sightseeing in the North Pole; with his wife, Nicole, in Corsica; examining eyes in Guatemala.IMAGES COURTESY OF HERBERT WERTHEIM

As Wertheim enters his 80th year, Herbie time has become his chief preoccupation. Besides his $16 million oceanfront home in Coral Gables, Wertheim has a 90-acre ranch near Vail, Colorado, a spectacu­lar four-story home overlooking the Thames in London and two sprawling estates in southern California. He spends many winters with his wife and family vacationing aboard World Yacht, the planet’s largest luxurious residential ship continuously circumnavigating the globe, where he owns two luxury apartments. Right now, in the middle of February, the Wertheims are somewhere off the coast of Sri Lanka.

A signee of Bill Gates and Warren Buffett’s Giving Pledge, Wertheim has committed to giving away at least half his wealth, and he intends the bulk of the donations to go to public education—the very system of which he is a product.

“I would not have achieved the education and opportunities that I have had without the help of our public-university education system,” he wrote when he signed the pledge.

Stroll around Florida International University’s main campus, just minutes from Wertheim’s Coral Gables home, and you can’t help but notice buildings emblazoned with his name: the Herbert Wertheim College of Medicine, the Nicole Wertheim College of Nursing & Health Sciences, the Herbert & Nicole Wertheim Performing Arts Center and the Wertheim Conservatory. He has given $50 million to FIU and committed another $50 million to the University of Florida. Last year he pledged $25 million to the University of California, San Diego, to help create a school of public health. Beyond education, Wertheim says he’s given to hundreds of domestic and foreign nonprofits, including the Miami Zoo and the Vail, Colorado, public radio station.

The former truant and class dunce still gets giddy when he sees his name on the university buildings, asking passersby to take photos—posing in his signature red hat and new Nikes. At the medical school, he put on a stethoscope, excited to test out the latest medical dummies, which breathe, sweat and even talk. In a room designed to study obstetrics, he tries his hand at an ultrasound machine. At a lab that he helps fund, he is enamored with laser imaging and how it can help measure retinal temperature in the eye. (“I’ve fallen in love with proteins,” he says casually, discussing another eye experiment.) At the FIU performing arts center bearing his name, he suggests adding an outdoor amphitheater: “I think it’s time. I’d like to see something big happen.”

“He’s very inspirational in the way he challenges people to think big and imagine what’s possible,” says Cammy Abernathy, dean of the Herbert Wertheim College of Engineering at the University of Florida.

Still, one gets the sense that devoting time to his stock portfolio provides as much joy for Wertheim as his playful excursions and philanthropies.

He recently doubled down on British energy giant BP and now owns over one million shares. But rather than dwell on its sagging, crude-dependent stock chart, he’s betting on its hydrogen fuel cells and enjoying its 6% dividend yield while he waits for the company to recover.

“They have important intellectual property in that area,” he says of the cells, which create electricity by using hydrogen as fuel, a technology Wertheim believes is the future of both air and road transportation. “We’re going to move to a hydrogen economy.” Contrarian Wertheim also likes the troubled stock of General Electric; he owns over 15 million shares and has been picking up more. 

He says he is making a long-term bet on GE’s intellectual property; the 126-year-old company has more than 179,000 patents and growing. Wertheim is especially jazzed about some patents that involve the 3-D printing of metal engine parts.

“You can’t look at what their sales are. You can’t look at anything. What is the future?” he says emphatically, adding, “They hit an all-time low yesterday, and I’m getting hurt. But I feel very, very comfortable with GE because of their technology.”

And Wertheim isn’t in any rush. Playing the long game is what he does best.

The Wit and Wisdom of Charlie Munger

Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, is celebrated for his wisdom, humor and irascible nature.   Warren Buffett’s long-time friend and partner, Munger is also the chairman of the Daily Journal, a legal publishing and software company in Los Angeles.  On Thursday, Munger as he does every year, spoke at the Daily Journal shareholder meeting. Here are a few of his annotated quotes, and my thoughts the implications and practical applications for financial planning clients.

Munger on common sense:

“When people talk about ‘common sense’ they mean ‘uncommon sense.’  It is much harder to have common sense than is commonly thought.”

A consistent Munger theme is common sense, which I take to mean: the sophistication of simplicity; striving to always search for the objective truth in yourself, others, markets, and the world in general; a never-ending, iterative quest to focus on sound core principles and themes, and the avoidance of noise and meaningless minutia; working to always behave rationally and unemotionally;  open-mindedness. Common sense can be developed by studying our personal shortcomings and mistakes, as well as the “folly” of others, both today and throughout history. Common sense, it turns out, is fairly rare, but foundational for sound financial planning and investing.


Munger on integrity:  

“A man has this wonderful horse, it's got an easy gait, good-looking... but occasionally it gets dangerous and vicious.  [The man] goes to the vet and says ‘What can I do about this horse?’ And the vet said ‘That’s a very easy problem and I’d be glad to help you...The next time your horse is behaving well...sell it.’  There has always been chicanery. People just seek out the weaknesses of their fellow man and take advantage. You just have to get wise enough to avoid them all. There are just so many people who should be avoided.  Warren has a great saying ‘Take the high road, it's never crowded.’”

Munger spent a considerable period of his talk pillorying the financial and investment management industry, and rightly so: its poor investment performance, high fees, tendency to promotionalism and hype, and poor ethics.  My takeaway for investors: focus first on your advisor’s character and integrity, not on his resume. Work with an advisor who is non-promotional and is focussed on delivering long-term value for his clients, not short-term, unaligned personal gain.  You can’t make a good deal, or get a good outcome, with a bad person.


Munger on saving and avoiding envy:   

“Here’s the greatest composer who ever lived [Mozart]-and what was his life like?  He was bitterly unhappy and he died young. What the hell did [he] do to screw it up?  He did two things that are guaranteed to cause a lot of misery. He overspent his income-scrupulously.  That is really stupid. Number two: he was full of jealousies and resentments.”

“Warren and I [started out] with tiny little bits of money.  We always underspent our income, we invested, and if you live long enough you get rich.  It’s not very complicated.”

“The truth of the matter is that not everybody can learn everything.  Some people are just way the hell better. And of course, no matter how hard you try, there’s always [somebody] that achieves more.  My attitude is ‘So what?’”

It’s been my observation that many of the large financial mistakes people make can be traced back to violating these 2 core principles.  At Dolan Partners we work hard to get clients to focus on their spending and saving, and have consistently found that the clients who achieve a sound balance between spending today and saving for the future, tend to be the happiest, and least anxious about their financial lives.  It’s not rocket science. Like losing weight, the concepts are relatively straightforward, nut it’s the implementation,persistence and accountability that are difficult.

Similarly, people with high degrees of envy, I have found, tend to be poor investors and are prone to making large, repeated investment gaffes.  They find it particularly hard to avoid jumping into financial bubbles, as they perceive that everyone is getting rich around them. Working with an advisor who can help you manage spending/saving as well as help mitigate the effects of envy on your portfolio can be critical, particularly to those who struggle in these areas.  


Munger on  the importance of patience in investing:   

It’s amazing how intelligent it is to just spend some time sitting.  A lot of people are way too active.”

Impatience is often a predictor of poor financial outcomes.  Munger consistently expounds on the power of compounding. But compounding can only be harnessed by patience, a long-term orientation, and the ability to delay gratification.  Investors should patiently work through the process of finding the right advisor, and then spend the time and effort to collaboratively craft the proper financial plan and investment portfolio for their situation.  Then, critically, they need to BE PATIENT. Tune out the noise, focus on long-term progress and outcomes, and don’t try and accelerate the process by constant changes and activity. The most patient investor usually gets the best long-term outcome, particularly after fees and taxes.  


Munger on the current investment environment:

“Generally speaking, as things have gotten tougher [in markets], we’ve been better at sitting on our ass with the [businesses] we have.  If you’re having trouble [finding investment opportunities] at the present time, join the club.”

“My advice for a seeker of [high investment returns], is to reduce your expectations, because I think it’s going to be tougher for awhile.  It helps to have realistic expectations-it makes you less crazy. They say common stocks, from the aftermath of the Great Depression, which was the worst [bear market] in the English speaking world in hundreds of years, to the present time, [have] produced maybe 10% [per year].  But that’s pre-inflation. After inflation it’s likely 7%. The difference between 7% and 10% and its [compound] consequences is hugely dramatic over a long period of time. And if that’s 7% in real terms, starting at a perfect period [a depression low] and through the greatest boom in history, starting now, it could well be 2% or 3% in real terms.  The ideal way to cope with that is to say ‘If that happens, I will [still] have a happy life.’ If you want to hit it out of the park easily, you should talk to Jim Cramer.”

Investors have to accept getting less than they were accustomed to getting under different conditions.  Just as an old man expects less out of his sex life than he did when he was 20.”

Munger is unequivocal: from today’s starting point, stock returns are likely to be lower, perhaps meaningfully lower, than the past 100 years.  Should that be true, financial plans and portfolios that are implicitly built on a continuation of historical return data, could deliver painful outcomes for investors..  Sound planning accepts the realities of the current investment environment. Clients should work with an advisor who can get them to their goals, without relying on unrealistic investment return scenarios.

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The Investor and Cycles

A recent reading of  Howard Marks’ “Mastering the Market Cycle,” provided some valuable financial planning and investment management insights.  Marks details how cycles are a permanent fixture in markets and economies, and that the cyclically-informed investor has advantages over the uninformed one.  The average investor typically ends up on the wrong end of economic and market cycles. I think it would be useful to contrast a hypothetical average investor (Investor A) and his behavior over past cycles, with a hypothetical client advised by a competent advisor (Investor B).  I will refer to 2 charts. The first highlights consumer confidence, the consumer savings rate, and contrasts it against the S&P 500 and consumer spending.

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The second shows client cash levels over time at a large brokerage.  By deduction, high cash signals low equity exposure and high risk aversion, with low cash implying high equity exposure and risk seeking.

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Investor A’s behaviors mimics the average investor’s behavior as expressed in these charts.  Investor B represents a client working with a cyclically-minded advisory firm.

Both charts begin in the early to mid 1990s.  The economy was beginning to gain traction after the recession of 1991, and yet Investor A, with a tendency to look in the rearview mirror, remained cautious and risk averse.  He was unconfident about the economy and markets and his personal financial prospects. He spent less and saved more. He also had low equity exposure and high cash in his portfolio.   Investor B also felt unconfident in the economy and and markets. However, his advisor pointed out that the recession had created compelling valuations in housing and stocks. The economy was emerging from recession, investor sentiment was negative, and asset prices were compelling.  A tilt to higher equity exposure and a more constructive view on the economy was warranted, without the need of a crystal ball.

As the 1990s progressed, and the economy and markets surged, Investor A became more confident.  The economic news was positive, and his income was increasing. He spent more and saved less. Feeling the drag of low equity exposure in a surging market, he began to rapidly increase exposure.  The higher the market went the more confident he became. By the late 1990s investor A’s balance sheet had degraded as he continued to saved less and less. His rationale: “Why save money when your house and investment portfolio are surging?”  

Investor B, after adding stock exposure in the mid 1990s, saw his portfolio show large returns.  Nevertheless, he felt the emotional pull to add even more exposure, and felt he was missing out on surging tech stocks.  His advisor explained that the economic and market cycle were very mature, investor sentiment had become worryingly bullish, and valuations-particularly in tech stocks-were very high.  While not predicting a market crash or recession, he advised increasing caution. He recommended a move to build balance sheet liquidity, increase savings, accelerating debt paydown, and a reduction in equity exposure.  

The resulting recession and bear market in 2000-2002 badly impaired Investor A.  His heavy equity allocation resulted in a very large drop in his portfolio. This was made worse by a sharp deterioration in his balance sheet.  He had been spending heavily due to his surging home equity and portfolio. Now both were down considerably, and his overleveraged and illiquid balance sheet was adding to the stress.   By 2002, all the economic and financial news was bad, and the market and his portfolio seemed to have no bottom. Finally, overcome by fear and anxiety, he dumped a large portion of his equity portfolio.

Investor B was not unaffected.  The value of his home had fallen.  His portfolio, while down, was down considerably less than the market.  He also read the news, and felt anxiety and pessimism. HIs advisor explained that the recession would not continue forever, that equity valuations had dropped to compelling levels, and widespread investor fear and pessimism were a positive signs for future returns.  He suggested shifting a portion of the investor’s liquidity into his portfolio, and to slowly increase equity exposure.

This simple hypothetical example serves to highlight the impact of cycles on different investors.  The average investor continues to fall into a recurring pattern of making the same mistakes, typically to the detriment of his financial health.  This is due primarily to a combination of procyclical behaviors coupled with the inability to control emotions. This is not an intelligence issue.  In my experience, smart, driven, time-constrained professionals often are just as susceptible to making the same mistakes. For this reason, working with an advisor who frames the economic and market cycle for his clients, and calibrates his client’s behavior and emotions based on the current position in those cycles, can often help his client experience far better financial and investment outcomes over the long-term.

ryanpdolan@dolanpartners.com